Goldman Sachs Research predicted that American stocks would have the fourth consecutive year of gains in 2026 after the S&P 500 produced a return of 18% in 2025 and 25% in 2024. The experts are predicting a total return of 12% in 2026 for the S&P 500 due to a healthy economy and easing of interest rates by the Fed. The Motley Fool reported that the S&P 500 was up 1.4% in January, which could be a powerful indicator of what’s in store in 2026, as a positive January over the last 40 years has led to an average full-year return of 15%.
While these outlets are positive about the outlook for the stock market in 2026, there’s one personal finance expert who isn’t as optimistic. Robert Kiyosaki, the popular author, believes that a crash is imminent. We reviewed Kiyosaki’s stock market advice over the years to determine whether it holds merit in 2026.
On Jan. 26, 2025, Kiyosaki warned that the biggest stock market crash in history was coming in February to his followers on X. He cited his book, “Rich Dad’s Prophecy,” which has the subtitle, “Why the Biggest Stock Market Crash in History Is Still Coming…and How You Can Prepare Yourself and Profit from It!”
The message shared that billions will leave the stock and bond markets and rush into bitcoin, which would help the digital currency boom.
Kiyosaki sent out another warning on X on Nov. 22, 2025, that a crash is coming once again and that he was buying assets instead of selling.
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While Kiyosaki is well known for his personal finance books, is there any merit to his investing advice? Here’s what the experts had to say.
Robert Johnson, Ph.D., chartered financial analyst (CFA) and professor of finance at Creighton University, dismissed the idea that anyone can predict a stock market crash at a particular time.
“Perhaps the biggest weakness in any stock investor is the person who believes they can predict market rises and falls,” he explained.
Johnson pointed out that it’s foolish to try to time the market in either direction, from predicting when a stock will surge to trying to guess when the overall market will crash. He cited that it’s difficult to find any investing experts with a proven track record of consistently predicting stock market crashes.
Johnson said investors can make decisions that they will later regret if they panic-sell based on a message sent out on social media.
