Team Group Inc.’s (TWSE:4967) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Apr 21, 2024
team-group-inc.’s-(twse:4967)-stock-has-shown-weakness-lately-but-financial-prospects-look-decent:-is-the-market-wrong?

It is hard to get excited after looking at Team Group’s (TWSE:4967) recent performance, when its stock has declined 11% over the past week. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Team Group’s ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company’s shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Team Group

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Team Group is:

11% = NT$237m ÷ NT$2.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The ‘return’ refers to a company’s earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every NT$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn NT$0.11 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don’t necessarily bear these characteristics.

Team Group’s Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To begin with, Team Group seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company’s ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.6%. For this reason, Team Group’s five year net income decline of 27% raises the question as to why the decent ROE didn’t translate into growth. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company’s growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

So, as a next step, we compared Team Group’s performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 17% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
TWSE:4967 Past Earnings Growth April 19th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock’s future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Team Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Team Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 53% (implying that 47% of the profits are retained), most of Team Group’s profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company’s shrinking earnings. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest – A vicious cycle that doesn’t benefit the company in the long-run. Our risks dashboard should have the 3 risks we have identified for Team Group.

Moreover, Team Group has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Team Group has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren’t reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. Up till now, we’ve only made a short study of the company’s growth data. You can do your own research on Team Group and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether Team Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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