Here’s What SpaceX’s Record Stock Market Debut Can Tell Us About OpenAI and Anthropic’s Planned IPOs

Jun 18, 2026
here’s-what-spacex’s-record-stock-market-debut-can-tell-us-about-openai-and-anthropic’s-planned-ipos

Adam Spatacco, The Motley Fool

5 min read

Last Friday, Elon Musk’s Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) made its historic entry into the public markets. As the largest initial public offering (IPO) in history, SpaceX’s debut provided a clear signal about how investors are prepared to value transformative companies in the current market.

From the scale of the offering, the strength of investor demand, and the immediate post-listing performance, abundant capital is seeking exposure to the companies that are redefining entire industries rather than merely competing within established incumbents.

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a “Double Down” signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same “Total Conviction” signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

This precedent may carry direct implications for OpenAI and Anthropic, two artificial intelligence (AI) developers that have recently filed confidential S-1s with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a filing companies make when they plan to go public.

Looking at the scale and momentum of SpaceX’s IPO

SpaceX priced its shares at $135, raising a record $85.7 billion in what became the largest IPO of all time. The stock opened on the Nasdaq at about $150 and gained 17% on its first trading day — briefly pushing the company’s market capitalization above $2.1 trillion.

This outcome reflected an extraordinary level of oversubscription during the book-building process. Moreover, it also demonstrates that growth investors are willing to pay a premium for access to a business whose ecosystem spans reusable rocketry, global satellite broadband, and integrated artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure.

So far, the transition from private to public ownership has not produced the typical post-IPO digestion or sell-off volatility often seen with large technology listings. Instead, SpaceX shares have exhibited sustained upward momentum — underscoring genuine conviction rather than speculative froth.

SpaceX’s valuation was $800 billion in December after the company completed a secondary share purchase from insiders. Moreover, just days before SpaceX hit the public exchanges, the company’s valuation soared to $1.5 trillion based on trading data from private market platform, Forge Global.

SpaceX’s further valuation expansion in market cap to more than $2.5 trillion suggests that public market investors are prepared to support — and exceed — the levels previously established in private transactions.

Leave a comment