Nonpartisan analyst moves 15 House races into Democrats’ favor

Sep 26, 2026
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Democracy Dies in Darkness

The Cook Political Report says the most likely outcome in November is Democrats winning a slim majority and picking up five to 15 seats in November.

September 25, 2026 at 3:25 p.m. EDT1 minute ago

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-New York) at a news conference this month. (Finn Gomez/Getty Images)

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report, an election prognosticator that rates competitiveness, on Friday moved 15 House races into Democrats’ favor.

Two of those GOP-held districts — Arizona’s 1st and New Jersey’s 7th — went from toss-ups to lean Democrat. Three races, including Rep. Monica De La Cruz’s (R-Texas) went from likely Republican to toss-ups.

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