As you might know, Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:PTEN) just kicked off its latest third-quarter results with some very strong numbers. The company beat forecasts, with revenue of US$1.3b, some 2.7% above estimates, and statutory earnings per share (EPS) coming in at US$0.07, 86% ahead of expectations. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company’s performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
After the latest results, the 13 analysts covering Patterson-UTI Energy are now predicting revenues of US$5.43b in 2027. If met, this would reflect a meaningful 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Patterson-UTI Energy forecast to report a statutory profit of US$0.47 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$5.31b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.34 in 2027. There’s been a pretty noticeable increase in sentiment, with the analysts upgrading revenues and making a very substantial lift in earnings per share in particular.
See our latest analysis for Patterson-UTI Energy
With these upgrades, we’re not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 6.0% to US$14.77per share. There’s another way to think about price targets though, and that’s to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Patterson-UTI Energy at US$19.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$12.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Patterson-UTI Energy’s revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 9.6% annualised growth rate until the end of 2027 being well below the historical 22% p.a. growth over the last five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 7.4% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Patterson-UTI Energy is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Patterson-UTI Energy’s earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company’s earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Patterson-UTI Energy going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we’ve spotted 2 warning signs for Patterson-UTI Energy you should be aware of.
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