Key Nvidia stock levels to watch if pressure continues

Investing.com — NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $168.89 on Nov 10, 2026 (-5.47%). Pre-market on Nov 11 at 9:05 AM EST was $174.09 (+3.08%), so a bounce is being priced in. The stock is down -26.34% in a month and about 31% from its Oct 6 high of $243.37. 

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Baird cut the stock to Neutral and more than halved its target to $200 from $500. It cited supply constraints, softer 2027 data center visibility, and uncertainty over government action and the CEO’s tenure. It expects a trading range “at best” until the dust settles. Morgan Stanley removed NVDA as a Top Pick under its stop-loss policy but kept Overweight. Read more (Nov 11, 2026)

The picture isn’t one-sided. BofA kept Buy ($350), Mizuho cut to $250 but stayed Outperform, and Raymond James called the pullback overdone. Read more (Nov 10, 2026) Mizuho flagged earnings on Nov 17 as a catalyst.

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Technical Damage Report

• Trend: The daily gauges read Strong Sell. Price sits below every moving average, and the daily 20 EMA ($202.38) has fallen through the 200 SMA ($204.54).

• Momentum: The daily RSI is 23.95, deeply oversold—why it matters: bounces are likely, but oversold can persist. The ADX is 34.7 with -DI at 47 versus +DI at 7.6, a one-sided downtrend.

• Volume: The last two sessions traded about 463M and 429M shares, roughly 3–4x the usual ~120M. That looks like capitulation, but not yet a base.

• Volatility: The daily ATR is about $8.70, so $8–9 daily swings are normal now.

Levels If Pressure Continues

Downside

• A break of NVIDIA (NVDA) below $165.89, the Nov 10 low would put price at fresh lows, a 52-week low of $164.27 included.

• $166.60 (daily classical S2) and $162.95 (S3) are the next pivot supports.

• Below the high-$150s, the chart has no prior structure. The 100-week SMA near $174.78 is the only nearby higher-timeframe average, and the 200-week SMA near $122.87 sits far below.

Upside (where rallies may stall)

• $172.63 (daily S1) and $174.69 (the Nov 10 high). This pre-market print is testing that zone.

• A rise in NVIDIA (NVDA) above $181.50 would fill the Nov 5 gap area. Gap closes at $181.60–$186.64 are common resistance.

• $200–$205 is the broken 200 SMA and the 20 EMA falling toward it. Reclaiming it would be a real trend repair. It is also near Baird’s $200 target.