Trainline Plc’s (LON:TRN) Stock Has Shown A Decent Performance: Have Financials A Role To Play?

Trainline’s (LON:TRN) stock up by 9.3% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company’s financial performance in the long-term, we decided to investigate if the company’s decent financials had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Trainline’s ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company’s success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Trainline

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Trainline is:

7.2% = UK£23m ÷ UK£313m (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2023).

The ‘return’ is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every £1 of its shareholder’s investments, the company generates a profit of £0.07.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Trainline’s Earnings Growth And 7.2% ROE

On the face of it, Trainline’s ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company’s ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.2%, we may spare it some thought. Looking at Trainline’s exceptional 50% five-year net income growth in particular, we are definitely impressed. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. Such as – high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

As a next step, we compared Trainline’s net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 6.2%.

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock’s future looks promising or ominous. Is TRN fairly valued? This infographic on the company’s intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Trainline Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Trainline doesn’t pay any dividend to its shareholders, meaning that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits into the business. This is likely what’s driving the high earnings growth number discussed above.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Trainline has some positive attributes. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company’s future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.