AMERISAFE, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:AMSF) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Jan 10, 2026
amerisafe,-inc.’s-(nasdaq:amsf)-stock-has-shown-weakness-lately-but-financial-prospects-look-decent:-is-the-market-wrong?

AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF) has had a rough three months with its share price down 8.5%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to AMERISAFE’s ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

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ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for AMERISAFE is:

18% = US$50m ÷ US$275m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2025).

The ‘return’ is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders’ equity, the company generated $0.18 in profit.

See our latest analysis for AMERISAFE

So far, we’ve learned that ROE is a measure of a company’s profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or “retains”, and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

At first glance, AMERISAFE seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 13% the company’s ROE looks pretty remarkable. Needless to say, we are quite surprised to see that AMERISAFE’s net income shrunk at a rate of 12% over the past five years. Therefore, there might be some other aspects that could explain this. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

However, when we compared AMERISAFE’s growth with the industry we found that while the company’s earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 11% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth

NasdaqGS:AMSF Past Earnings Growth January 10th 2026

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is AMSF fairly valued? This infographic on the company’s intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

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