Aptiv PLC’s (NYSE:APTV) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Feb 25, 2024
aptiv-plc’s-(nyse:aptv)-stock-has-shown-weakness-lately-but-financial-prospects-look-decent:-is-the-market-wrong?

Aptiv (NYSE:APTV) has had a rough month with its share price down 10%. However, the company’s fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on Aptiv’s ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company’s management is utilizing the company’s capital. Put another way, it reveals the company’s success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Aptiv

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Aptiv is:

25% = US$3.0b ÷ US$12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The ‘return’ is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.25 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or “retains”, and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don’t have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Aptiv’s Earnings Growth And 25% ROE

First thing first, we like that Aptiv has an impressive ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 12% the company’s ROE is quite impressive. Given the circumstances, we can’t help but wonder why Aptiv saw little to no growth in the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven’t been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company’s growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

As a next step, we compared Aptiv’s net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company’s growth is lower than the industry average growth of 11% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:APTV Past Earnings Growth February 25th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock’s future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for APTV? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Aptiv Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Aptiv doesn’t pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business. However, this doesn’t explain why the company hasn’t seen any growth. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Summary

In total, it does look like Aptiv has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether Aptiv is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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