Dow Jones Today: Stock Futures Holding Steady Ahead of CPI Inflation Report as S&P 500, Nasdaq Near Record Highs

Aug 12, 2025
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Stocks moved higher in early trading Tuesday after highly anticipated inflation numbers came in largely as expected. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was up 1% recently, while the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) added 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively. The tech-heavy Nasdaq touched a new record high this morning and is on pace for its third record close in the past four sessions, while the benchmark S&P 500 is poised for its first record close since July 28. Major indexes were coming off a slightly lower finish on Monday, after posting their biggest weekly gains since June last week.

The Consumer Price Index report released this morning showed that annual inflation held steady from the previous month at 2.7% in July, slightly better than economists had expected, while core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was a tad higher than anticipated. The stock market’s early reaction to the data seems to indicate that investors remain optimistic that the Federal Reserve will be in a position to cut interest rates at its next policy committee meeting in September. Expectations for rate cuts, along with reduced concerns about the impact of tariffs and the economic outlook, have helped boost stocks to record-high levels recently.

Shares of the world’s largest technology companies, which have an outsized influence on the broader market, were mixed in early trading. Meta Platforms (META) rose 2%, while Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOG) and Broadcom (AVGO) inched higher. Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA) were each down 1%, while Amazon (AMZN) fell slightly.

Among other noteworthy movers this morning, shares of embattled chipmaker Intel (INTC) were up more than 2%, adding to yesterday’s gain of nearly 4%, after CEO Lip-Bu Tan met with President Donald Trump at the White House. Trump, who on Friday had called for the CEO to step down, said late Monday in a post on Truth Social that Tan’s success is “an amazing story,” adding that Cabinet members will be having more meetings with Tan in the coming days.

Shares of Circle Internet Group (CRCL) climbed 5% after the USDC stablecoin issuer released a solid earnings report. It was Circle’s first earnings report as a publicly traded company, after carrying out an IPO in June.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which affects borrowing costs on all sorts of loans, notably mortgages, was at 4.31% recently, up from 4.27% at yesterday’s close. The yield fell as low as 4.18% last week, its lowest level in three months, as market expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve increased after a weak July jobs report.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the performance of the dollar against a basket of foreign currencies, was down 0.3% at 98.26 in recent trading.

Bitcoin was trading at $119,200, little changed from Monday afternoon. The digital currency had jumped as high as $122,300 early Monday, not far from its record high of $123,200 set in mid-July.

Gold futures were down 0.2% at $3,395 an ounce, after hitting a record high late last week of just above $3,500. The price of the precious metal, which had been supported in part by reports that gold bars would be subject to tariffs, fell sharply after the White House said that gold imports would not be subject to import levies.

West Texas Intermediate futures, the U.S. crude oil benchmark, fell 0.8% to $63.50 per barrel. Oil prices, which stabilized yesterday after seven straight days of declines, are trading at their lowest levels since early June.

BigBear.ai Plunges on Uncertainty About Government Contracts

57 minutes ago

BigBear.ai (BBAI) shares lost a quarter of their value Tuesday morning, a day after the artificial intelligence data analytics firm slashed its revenue outlook and withdrew its profit forecast on uncertainty about government contracts.

The company now anticipates full-year revenue in the range of $125 million to $140 million, down from its earlier estimate of $160 million to $180 million. Its previous guidance for adjusted EBITDA had been “in the negative single digit millions.”

CEO Kevin McAleenan said while BigBear.ai is optimistic about future investments and growth opportunities, “we have also seen disruptions in federal contracts from efficiency efforts this quarter, most notably in programs that support the U.S. Army, as they seek to consolidate and modernize their data architecture.”

Along with questions about Army contracts, the company expects increased spending in the second half of the year. 

In the second quarter, BigBear.ai posted a loss of $0.71 per share, about 12 times more than analysts from Visible Alpha were looking for. Revenue slumped 18% year-over-year to $32.5 million, also well short of forecasts.

Shares of BigBear.ai had entered Tuesday up nearly 60% this year.

Bill McColl

On Holding Stock Soars as Sneaker Maker Boosts Outlook

1 hr 29 min ago

On Holding (ONON) shares surged more than 10% in early trading Tuesday after the high-end sneaker maker posted better-than-expected results and boosted its guidance on booming direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales.

The Switzerland-based firm backed by tennis great Roger Federer reported second-quarter revenue jumped 32% year-over-year to 749.2 million Swiss francs ($925.9 million), well above Visible Alpha forecasts.

DTC sales soared 47% to CHF308.3 million ($381.0 million), which the company credited to “continued focus on operational excellence, and favorable foreign exchange developments.” DTC made up 41% of total revenue, a new second-quarter record. Sales from its wholesale channel increased 23% to CHF441.0 million ($544.8 million).

Co-founder and Executive Co-Chair David Allemann said On is “playing the long game,” and that the performance “proves our strategy is working—from our diversified portfolio of iconic footwear franchises to our stellar growth in apparel and our global brand footprint.”

On now sees full-year revenue of CHF2.91 billion ($3.60 billion), compared to the earlier estimate of CHF2.86 billion ($3.53 billion), and gross profit margin in the range of 60.5% to 61.0%, versus the previous outlook of 60.0% to 60.5%.

Shares of On Holding entered Tuesday down nearly 17% year-to-date. 

Bill McColl

Major Index Futures Tick Lower

3 hr 11 min ago

Futures tied to major U.S. stock indexes were down fractionally ahead of the release of closely watched inflation data this morning.

S&P 500 futures

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Nasdaq 100 futures

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Dow Jones Industrial Average futures

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