Bank of America Corporation (BAC) Stock Forecasts

Summary

Wednesday was a tough day for mega-cap indices, especially those with a heavy Information Technology component. Semiconductors were slammed again and it looks like the latest rally off the lows since April 19 is complete. The Nasdaq dropped 2.5%, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) lost 2.7%, and the S&P 500, S&P 100, and S&P 400 all fell between 1% and 1.3%. Small-caps outperformed once again, with the Russell 2000 off only 0.7% and the S&P SmallCap 600 down only a fraction. Semiconductor indices all plunged 6% or more. The iShares Semi ETF (SOXX) fell very close to its low from the latter part of June and lost its 21-day exponential average for the first time in three months. The ETF did not quite reach its 50-day average, but the major losses were accompanied by very heavy volume. The 5- and 13-day moving average crossover almost reversed its bullish cross from early May. The VanEck Semi ETF (SMH) did see a minor 5/13 bearish cross, as did the DJ U.S. Semi Index. Since June 20, the semis have generated five distribution days (big losses on an increase in volume or above-average volume). A cluster like that is certainly a warning of an intermediate-term top. We have also seen five or six distribution days on the QQQ si