Vandita Jadeja
5 min read
Quick Read
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Tesla’s net income dropped 43% to $787M, yet shares fell less than 1% as gross profit rose 9% and adjusted EPS of $0.48 beat estimates.
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Tesla trades at 159x forward earnings versus GM’s 6x, reflecting how much autonomous driving premium the market has already priced in.
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Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) closed at $386.47 the day it reported a steep drop in profit. The 24/7 Wall St. price target for Tesla is $404.84 over the next 12 months. That means 4.75% upside and a hold rating. We have high confidence in the call.
Third-quarter net income fell 42.68% to $787 million, and shares slid only 0.91% on earnings day. The stock held up because the damage was below the gross profit line.
Gross profit rose 8.71%, while R&D climbed to $2.76 billion from $1.63 billion to fund autonomy, Optimus and AI computing power. Adjusted EPS of $0.48 beat the $0.4511 consensus.
A Calm Reaction After July’s 14.52% Selloff
Compare that with the second quarter, when an EPS miss sent shares down 14.52% in one session. Tesla traded at $382.90 midday. That leaves it up 4.29% over the past week and 2.03% over the past month, but down 14.86% year to date. It sits between a 52-week high of $498.83 and a low of $297.38.
Revenue of $28.046 billion came in essentially flat year over year. Deliveries reached 486,532, and Tesla ended the quarter with its highest backlog in four years.
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Management also cut full-year capex guidance to about $20 billion. Meanwhile, Elon Musk suggested at a tie-up with SpaceX, which keeps merger speculation alive.
Robotaxi, Optimus and Megapack Fuel the Case for $466.97
Paid FSD subscriptions reached 1.74 million, up from 1.04 million. More than 75% of North American deliveries came with an FSD sign-up. The Cybercab fleet in Austin has grown tenfold since launch, and executives see Robotaxi becoming a significant profit contributor in 2027.