This Perennial Winner Is Down 20% From Its All-Time High. History Says It Can Double in the Next 5 Years.

Sep 25, 2026
this-perennial-winner-is-down-20%-from-its-all-time-high-history-says-it-can-double-in-the-next-5-years.

The broad S&P 500 index has performed well in 2026. But that doesn’t mean all companies have benefited from the overall market’s rise.

Take a look at O’Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ: ORLY), a leading aftermarket automotive parts retailer. Its shares have climbed 106% in the past five years (as of Sept. 24). However, they currently trade 20% below the peak established in September 2025.

Missed AI’s “Act 1”? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn’t buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of “Act 1″—the R&D phase. “Act 2” is the global rollout. Continue »

That dip is your opportunity to add a proven winner to your portfolio. History says now is a great time to buy this stock, as it’s poised to double in the next five years.

O'Reilly Auto Parts logo on NASCAR racetrack wall with race cars.

Image source: Getty Images.

Be opportunistic when there’s a sizable drawdown

Over the past decade, this retail stock has well outpaced the S&P 500 index, but it has also fallen by around 20% or more on five different occasions, including the latest drop.

The best investors aren’t thrown off by the volatility. They view it as an opportunity. Had you been aggressive with O’Reilly Automotive stock during these challenging times and held on to it through the years, you would have reaped impressive rewards.

In 2022, for example, O’Reilly Automotive stock tanked 23% in the matter of a few weeks. Over the following seven or so months to close out the year, it soared by 47%. Similar dynamics played out in previous situations.

History doesn’t repeat. But it often rhymes. And the patterns of the past suggest that O’Reilly Automotive stock won’t stay down for long.

O’Reilly Automotive is a compounding machine

Owning high-quality businesses is a proven way to build wealth in the stock market. And O’Reilly Automotive fits the bill.

Demand is durable for the wares it stocks, which is one of its best characteristics. Selling car parts is an all-weather activity. Customers need these products in good economic times and bad, since having access to a functioning vehicle is essential for most people in their daily lives.

In 2025, O’Reilly Automotive reported same-store sales growth of 4.7%. This marked the 33rd straight year that same-store sales grew, a phenomenal track record. This metric rose during each of the first two quarters of 2026, too, so the streak is set to hold up this year.

The company had 6,695 stores as of June 30. But it’s not done growing its footprint. It plans to open 225 to 235 net new locations this year. This is a strong growth pace for a company of this scale. Management believes in its expansion opportunity, as it operates in a highly fragmented segment of the retail industry, which makes it easier for a large player to continue boosting its market share.

Leave a comment